Friday 7 December 2012

December stats so far (REBGV)

Dec 1-7 Stats

2012 vs 2011
Sales: 343 vs 494 (-31%)
vs Nov/12: 343 vs 404 (-15%)
New Lists: 508 vs 595 (-15%)
S/L Ratio: 67.5% vs 83.0%

Est month end sales: 1160 vs 1658 (-30% YoY, MoM)
Est month end lists: 1300 vs 1629 (-20% YoY)
Est month end inventory: 13500 vs 12000 (+ 12-13% YoY)
Est month end MOI: 11-12 months  vs 7.2 (2011)

Greater Vancouver months of inventory is projected to reach 11-12 months by year end, worse than November's MOI (9.3 months), bringing Vancouver deeper into buyer's market territory.

Sales and S/L ratio will both rank as 2nd worst in past 11+ years.

HPI price is expected to continue its decline, both MoM and YoY.

大温地区滞销量在12月底将达到11-12个月,比上个月(9.3个月) 滞销加剧, 更加深入买方市场
今年12月成交/新上市比 将成为十多年来第二低,仅次于2008年。
预计本月大温地产局指标价会继续同比环比双跌。

Year   成交   新上市 Ratio
2001 2394 1856 129.0%
2002 2205 1895 116.4%
2003 2434 2301 105.8%
2004 2065 1764 117.1%
2005 2332 1735 134.4%
2006 1686 1524 110.6%
2007 1897 1695 111.9%
2008 924 1550 59.6%
2009 2515 2153 116.8%
2010 1899 1699 111.8%
2011 1658 1629 101.8%
2012 1160 1300 89% (Est)


* Stat source: award winning realtor Paul Boenisch

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